This is also the moment that tests the strength of presiding officers. Do our leaders truly have the trust of the caucuses they lead? Will the two parties cooperate or conflict? Trust is the most valuable—and most perishable—commodity in this building. The decisions made over the next 38 days will shape Oregon’s future for the next decade or more, and they may very well determine the political fate of many currently serving.
As co-chair of the Transportation and Economic Development Subcommittee of the Joint Committee on Ways & Means, I work with a team deeply committed to the work of the dozen agencies under our jurisdiction. That includes ODOT, Housing, Business Oregon, Employment, OLCC, and Veterans Affairs. The recent revenue forecast has made our job harder than expected.
Oddly enough, a forecast with deep cuts or major revenue increases can be easier to manage. Big cuts force us to say “no” across the board. Big increases let us strategically invest in new initiatives. But when resources are flat—or just modestly growing—we face the more difficult task of making tough choices among hundreds of legitimate, competing proposals.
We’re finalizing those budgets now. A major consideration is the significant increases requested by the Governor for housing and homelessness. Most other agencies will be funded close to their current service levels. Some agencies may face small reductions or new responsibilities, but sweeping changes are unlikely.
At the same time, almost every legislator has submitted proposals that cost money. Few will advance—largely due to budget limitations. To succeed, the ask will need to be very good, and the sponsor very skilled.
Finally, there are a record number of requests for capital construction and lottery bond funding. These are local projects like water and sewer, parks, and ports. Roughly $2 billion in proposals have been received for the $500 million available. Again, many worthy projects will not be supported.
The sense in the building is that the marathon has turned downhill and we are rushing toward adjournment. But I am mindful that many large and potentially contentious questions remain. On the budget front, that includes transportation funding, housing, and education investments. Possible policy measures include firearms, book bans, unemployment benefits for striking workers, wildfire resilience, utility rates, and even my ongoing concerns about using primates for medical research.
We have only 38 days left. But that is more days than the entire short session scheduled for next year. There is still time for plenty to happen – and plenty to go wrong.
Together, we’ll chart the best course forward in the days and months ahead.
(Much of this overview came from the newsletter of my friend, Representative Paul Evans. I thank him for the thoughts and phrasing.) |