By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
A weak front went through early yesterday, then a ridge moved across giving us a sunny dry day today with highs in the low 70s. This evening the parent low pressure area just off the coast of northern British Columbia will spin another front across our area, pushing in the clouds then bringing a slight chance of light rain or rainshowers after midnight here, the better chance of rain looks to be north of our area, into extreme northwestern Oregon and southwestern Washington. The winds this evening northwesterly 5-10, but diminishing, lows tonight near 55.
The front looks to stall and pretty much fall apart as it pushes inland tomorrow which gives us a chance of showers that become more widely scattered later tomorrow afternoon, before diminishing tomorrow evening. Winds tomorrow becoming westerly 5-10, the high near 70. Mostly cloudy skies continue tomorrow night, the winds becoming light and variable, then some patchy fog is possible in the early morning hours, lows near 54.
The pattern becomes more zonal, or west to east Thursday so a pleasant day with mostly sunny skies, the surface winds becoming northwesterly 5-10, and thanks to the sea breeze, we see highs around 71. We can expect a mostly clear night, calm winds, and lows near 53.
Friday is when we high pressure ridge start to build and warm things up. So, we see sunny skies with the high up near 72, another mostly clear night, lows near 54.
Then, as the ridge continues to intensify this weekend, we see sunny skies Saturday, the high near 74, and it looks like with the valley in the upper 80s to low 90s, and we see a breezy evening with winds gusting to 20-25 until the sun goes down, lows near 56.
Sunday, the ridge continues to strengthen, the breezy northwesterly winds return that afternoon, the high near 77, then partly cloudy skies Sunday night, the winds diminish, lows near 58.
The models get a little mixed for the start of next week, some show the strong ridge axis over our region, bringing even warmer temperatures, others show the ridge getting pushed eastward by a tough to the north. Where the ridge axis is, will drive just how hot we get, or don’t get! The bottom line is – there is a decent chance we will see temperatures in the upper 70s here on Monday, and into the low 80s Tuesday and maybe Wednesday. The valley could see temperatures in the low 90s by Sunday, then the mid to upper 90s Monday, and possible into the upper 90s to near 100 for Tuesday and Wednesday. Hopefully the models merge and give us a clearer picture before the end of the week!