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GORDON’S UPDATE: Weather 11/13/23 – Chilly Nights & King Tides

Posted on November 13, 2023 by Editor

By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
This morning, we had the next in a series of fronts move through bringing another round of light rain. The next item on the weather agenda is a trough to the west and southwest that will spin up a low pressure area, that continue to drift southward until becoming cutoff from the jet stream flow around midweek, then just meander west of northern California before weakening and finally ejecting eastward through California over the weekend. This can rotate some clouds and maybe some areas of rain across the area as the moisture spins around this low and moves up over our area. Once the low weakens and pushes inland this weekend, the door is open for more systems and their associated rain.

So, what does all this mean for our weather, you ask? Well, we see mostly cloudy skies tonight still, light northerly winds, the low drops down near a chilly 38.

Tomorrow looks sunny with the winds becoming northwesterly 4-8, highs near 57, then with a weak disturbance rotating around the low, we can expect mostly cloudy skies tomorrow night with a slight chance of some rain, easterly winds 4-8, lows down around 38.

Partly sunny skies Wednesday with that slight chance of rain still, winds becoming northerly 4-8, highs near 55, then some mostly clear, dry skies Wednesday night equals the low dropping to near 37.

Thursday looks good with sunny skies with a ridge building to the west, the high climbs to near 56, then with mostly clear skies that night the low again drops down to near 39.

Friday starts out sunny with the high up near 59, but by Friday night the cut off low pressure area has weakened and started moving inland so we see partly cloudy skies with an increasing chance of rain starting in the early morning hours, the low down near 43.

With the flow over our area opening up again, Saturday looks rainy, the high near 56, lows near 43, then we transition to scattered showers Sunday, highs near 54, lows near 40.

The long range models are suggesting the start of next week looks rainy also.

It is that time of year again, the astronomically high tides are back for a few days. Using the Garibaldi Tide Tables, I see they peak today and tomorrow at 9.7’ before lowering each day from Wednesday on. This means be careful at high tide time as the waves will be further up the beach. There is always the risk of sneaker waves as well. There are times when the risk is higher, but the risk is always there! The only other noteworthy thing. There is a chance that the usual spots in Nehalem, in Tillamook near the Tillamook River, and down in Pacific City, could see some minor tidal flooding between noon and 1pm.

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