By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
Thursday, April 13, 2023
We had another chilly start this morning with the low morning temperature dropping to 32 again. This afternoon we had another weak disturbance giving us a chance of some showers and tonight we still have a slight chance of some showers with calm winds, the lows tonight down to near 38 and the snow level is around 2400’.
Tomorrow a weak ridge builds into the area, giving us partly sunny skies and putting an end to any remaining widely scattered showers. Winds becoming westerly 4-8 in the afternoon, highs near 53. Look for mostly cloudy skies tomorrow night as the ridge starts moving to the east as a trough of low pressure develops to the west. With calm winds tomorrow night, the lows drop to near 38 again.
Saturday it looks like we have an increasing chance of rain along the coast, starting in the afternoon with that trough moving closer, though several of the models try to keep us on the dryer side until later Saturday night when rain is likely. We can expect southerly winds 5-10 Saturday with highs near 52, lows near 43. The bottom line is the rain moves in Saturday, we just don’t have a good handle on exactly what time.
Sunday sees a front moving in bringing periods of heavy rain with winds becoming southwesterly 15-20 gusting to 30 in the afternoon and evening. The good news is this system will not linger so hydrological concerns remain low. The other good news is the snow level will remain above 2000’. Highs on Sunday near 52, lows near 38.
It looks like we will stay on the cool side with scattered rain or showers the first half of next week with an upper level trough of low pressure over or near the area. So, we can expect mostly cloudy skies with rain or showers, along with occasionally breezy conditions starting Monday and persisting thru at least Wednesday with highs near 50, lows near 37. The snow level could drop close to the summit level in the early morning hours Tuesday, otherwise it lingers around 2100’.
And I hate to say it, but…the long range models suggest we actually stay wet through the end of next week with cooler than average temperatures.
Here is what the Climate Prediction Center’s Latest 8-14 Day Long Range Climatological Forecast’s…where is Spring?
