By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
Tuesday, January 31, 2023
We had another chilly start this morning, otherwise, the high pressure ridge continues to keep us dry with some light winds. We do see some clouds continuing to top the ridge and drop into the area giving us mostly cloudy skies tonight with the light winds, the low dropping to around 32.
The weather picture changes little for tomorrow though we do warm a few degrees, so we see a partly sunny day with the winds becoming westerly 4-8, highs near 53. We continue to see mostly cloudy skies tomorrow night, the winds becoming easterly 5-10, lows near 36.
A change starts Thursday as the ridge weakens and shifts eastward with a disturbance approaching the area from the west that brings increasing clouds then an increasing chance of rain starting Thursday evening. The winds shift ahead of the system, becoming southeasterly 8-12, the afternoon high up near 55. Thursday night looks cloudy, rainy, and windy, the low near 42.
More of the models are showing a low pressure area developing on the approaching front which could put a wrinkle in the forecast as the low does not always follow the path the models suggest it will. The current thinking is the low will stay far enough offshore to limit its affects. Having said that, Friday we likely see more clouds and rain along with some breezy winds, the high up near 50, still rainy and breezy that night, lows near 43.
Another stronger trough moves in over the weekend that gives us more rain and winds for Saturday and Sunday, highs still around 50, lows around 42. For now it appears the winds will be below Warning levels for the coast and the rain amounts will increase the river flow rates but not to a level to increase flooding concerns.